Based on the background of supply and demand, as well as price trends in the PP non-woven fabric market in July 2026, there is currently no clear signal of a turning point in the industry. Combining with existing market dynamics, the following analysis can be made:
1. Current market fundamentals
As of mid July 2026, the operating rate of the PP non-woven fabric industry was 38.15%, a slight decrease of 0.13% compared to last week. The upward movement of upstream polypropylene fiber material costs led to a slight increase in product prices. However, industry and agriculture are still in the traditional off-season, and core downstream demand such as geotextiles, waterproof fabrics, and nursery fabrics continues to be weak, resulting in an overall supply-demand stalemate in the market.
2. Prediction of potential turning point time window
1. Short term dimension: From late July to early August, if geopolitical conflicts push up crude oil prices again, leading to a significant increase in upstream PP raw material costs, or if downstream agricultural and industrial sectors experience concentrated inventory replenishment after the off-season ends, the market may experience a temporary slight upward turning point;
2. Mid term dimension: Around September 2026, with the traditional peak season for downstream demand of gold, silver, and silver starting, coupled with the adjustment of the supply and demand pattern after the concentrated deployment of new production capacity in the second half of the year, the market is likely to usher in a clear trend turning point.
3. The key factors that trigger a turning point in the core
1. Upstream end: significant fluctuations in international crude oil prices, progress of new PP production capacity deployment, and centralized maintenance of oil to coal PP plants;
2. Demand side: The release rhythm of centralized orders in downstream geotextile, sanitary materials, and packaging fields, as well as the incremental situation of export orders.

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